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Lots of Atlantic nuisance and noise
Author: Eric Berger
Published: 12:06 PM August 20, 2023
Shifting into the Atlantic basin now. The NHC’s outlook map looks more like a leaked flag football playbook or something.
Credit: NOAA NHC
Right out of the gate, let me just say that none of these systems look particularly menacing or troublesome for any areas. Busy as it may be, we’ll call this a nuisance setup. Let’s walk through these things.
Gulf wave: A rainmaker in South Texas
The tropical wave we’ve been talking about for several days is finally in the Gulf of Mexico this morning, and based on satellite imagery, it is not terrible looking. Organized, no, but vigorous, yes.
Credit: Weathernerds.org
This will continue due west across the Gulf and make it into Texas by Tuesday morning. This has a 50/50 shot of becoming a depression or low-end tropical storm as it approaches Texas, but it is unlikely to surpass that level. The main impact from this system will be rainfall in Texas, a needed commodity. Sadly, for Houston and drought-stricken east Texas, this will do next to nothing. However, South Texas needs the rain too, and they will get some as this system moves in.
Invest 90L: May develop today, rain for Hispaniola, Bermuda in the future?
The next wave to discuss is Invest 90L, which is located in the southeast Caribbean. It is beginning to attempt to develop there, and there’s some chance this becomes a depression or even Tropical Storm Emily today.
Credit: Tropical Tidbits
If you look at the NHC map above, you can see how 90L’s potential development takes on an “L” shape. The good news is that 90L should be drawn up north and out to sea rather quickly. The bad news is that it could impact Hispaniola, particularly with heavy rainfall. Bermuda may also want to keep an eye on 90L’s progress over the coming days. We will watch this closely for those areas this week.
Tropical Depression 6: Heads for the exits today
Invest 99L turned into TD 6 yesterday, and it will degenerate back into a wave today. Thanks for joining us.
Invest 98L & Africa waves
We expect development of Invest 98L in the next day or so, at least to a depression, maybe a tropical storm. But it will stay out at sea. Subsequent waves off Africa will likely behave similarly in the coming days.
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